12. Smart coding of interaction terms

We consider some ways of smart coding of interaction terms

Binary predictors

The smart coding of interaction terms considers different formulations of the standard terms in a regression model. The model for testing of interaction is

y = x1 + x2 + x1*x2

This model has 3 df, including 1 df for the interaction x1*x2 (if x1 and x2 both have 1 df). If x1 is a binary variable, we can code x2 such that it represents the effects without x2 and with x2 respectively:

y = x1 + (1 – x1)*x2 + x1*x2 

This model also has 3 df, but now the effects are directly estimated for x2 in the absence of x1 and the presence of x1. The term (1 – x1)*x2 is the x2 effect if x1=0; the term x1*x2 is the x2 effect if x1=1.

Categorized predictors

Suppose we consider a categorical predictor with 7 levels, e.g. presenting problem in children with fever ('problem'). We are interested in the effect of temperature ('temp') on urgency (high vs low). The model for testing of interaction is

y = as.factor(problem) + temp + as.factor(problem) * temp 

This model has 13 df of freedom. For easier interpretation of the effect of temp by problem we create 7 variables:

p1t <- ifelse('problem'==1, temp, 0)
p2t <- ifelse('problem'==2, temp, 0)
p7t <- ifelse('problem'==7, temp, 0)

We then fit the model

y = as.factor(problem) + p1t + p2t + ... + p7t

This model also has 13 df, but the effects of temperature are easier to interpret.

Continuous predictors

If x1 is a continuous predictor, we can estimate the effect of x2 at specific values of x1 by subtracting the x1 value at which we want to estimate the effect of x2. For example, when we examine a model with interaction between systolic blood pressure (SBP, range e.g. 60 – 200) and age (AGE, range e.g. 30 – 90), we could reformulate the standard model

y = AGE + SBP + AGE*SBP as
y = (AGE-50) + SBP + (AGE-50)*SBP for the SBP effect at age 50, and
y = (AGE-70) + SBP + (AGE-70)*SBP for the SBP effect at age 70.

Illustration in GUSTO-I

We illustrate the smart coding in the n=785 subsample of GUSTO-I. We want to assess the effects of age among those with or without tachycardia (HRT 0 / 1). We calculate 2 age variables AGE0 and AGE1 to do so:

 AGE0 <- gustos$AGE * (1 - gustos$HRT)	# Age effect, No tachycardia
 AGE1 <- gustos$AGE * gustos$HRT	# Age effect, Tachycardia

The standard fit was

        			Coef    S.E.   Wald  P
 AGE        			0.0759  0.024  3.16  0.0016
 HRT=Tachycardia        	-3.6376 2.835 -1.28  0.1995
 AGE * HRT=Tachycardia		0.0655  0.040  1.64  0.1004

The smart coding gives us

        			Coef     S.E.  Wald  P   
 AGE0       			0.0759  0.024  3.16  0.0016
 AGE1       			0.1414  0.033  4.26  0.0000
 HRT=Tachycardia     		-3.6376 2.835 -1.28  0.1995

In the standard fit, we have to add the effects of AGE and AGE*HRT to obtain the age effect in those with HRT. A confidence interval for the age effect in those with HRT requires use of the covariance matrix of the fit. With smart coding, the confidence intervals are obtained directly from the fit from the SE of each age effect. Note that the coefficient for AGE1 is the sum of the AGE and AGE*HRT effects in the standard fit.

Age 50 or 70

The interpretation of the HRT effect is at age zero; we can make that at age 50 as follows:

 AGE0 <- (gustos$AGE-50) * (1-gustos$HRT)
 AGE1 <- (gustos$AGE-50) * gustos$HRT

This coding leads to the following regression coefficients

	Coef     S.E.    Wald  P   
 AGE0	0.07587 0.02401  3.16  0.0016
 AGE1	0.14140 0.03323  4.26  0.0000
 HRT	-0.3609 0.88541 -0.41  0.6835

For age 70, we subtract 70 instead of 50 from the age variable, and this leads to

 		Coef     S.E.    Wald  P
 Intercept	-4.4323 0.52548 -8.43  0.0000
 AGE0		0.07587 0.02401  3.16  0.0016
 AGE1		0.14140 0.03323  4.26  0.0000
 HRT		0.94971 0.33094  2.87  0.0041

So, we note that HRT is slightly protective at age 50 (coefficient -0.36, p=0.68) and a risk factor at age 70 (coefficient 0.95, p=0.004, see Fig 12.1).

Prevention of counterintuitive patterns

We can reformulate the interaction model to prevent this counterintuitive pattern.

 AGE55min	<- ifelse(gustos$AGE<55, gustos$AGE-55,0)
 AGE55plusNoHRT	<- ifelse(gustos$AGE<55|gustos$HRT==0,0,gustos$AGE-55)
 AGE55plusHRT	<- ifelse(gustos$AGE<55|gustos$HRT==1,0,gustos$AGE-55)

This coding leads to the following regression coefficients

 		Coef     S.E.    Wald  P
 AGE55min	0.08709 0.10706  0.81  0.416
 AGE55plusNoHRT	0.07701 0.02491  3.09  0.002
 AGE55plusHRT	0.14123 0.02577  5.48  0.000

HRT effect at higher age only

We now estimate a common age effect until age 55 (AGE55min coefficient 0.087 per year); from age 55 the age effect is 0.141 and 0.077 for those with and without tachycardia respectively. We do not incorporate a separate effect of HRT, since we assume a breakpoint at age 55. If we only assume a stronger effect over age 55, we can formulate a model with the following coefficients:

		Coef     S.E.    Wald  P
 AGE55		0.07817 0.02097   3.73   0.0002
 AGE55plusHRT	0.06409 0.01871   3.43   0.0006
 where AGE55	<- gustos$AGE-55	# age is zero at 55 years

We now have an age effect for the HRT=1 (‘Tachycardia’) group that starts at age 55, and is +0.064 stronger than the effect of 0.078 for the HRT=0 (‘No tachycardia’) group. Dividing age by 10 would make the coefficient interpretable as per decade older (Fig 12.2).

additional/chapter12.txt · Last modified: 2008/11/17 14:21 by ewsteyerberg
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